When Is Groundhog Day 2017?Groundhog day 2017 is on February 2nd Thursday, 33rd day of the year. There are about left until emerging of Groundhog from his burrow.
What Happens If The Groundhog Sees His Shadow?The Groundhog Day is an event much popular in North America (USA), Canada, UK, and celebrated on the February 2 each year. According to tradition, on this day, one must observe the burrow entrance of a groundhog (aka woodchuck). In morning approximately at 7:15 AM local time, When the groundhog come out from his burrow and does not see its shadow because the weather is cloudy, it means winter will soon end. By cons, if groundhog sees its shadow because the weather is bright and clear, it will be frightened and take refuge back into its hole, and this means that winter will continue for six more weeks.
Did the groundhog see his shadow this year (2017)Congratulations, according to reports of year 2017, groundhogs predict six more weeks of winter and early arrival of spring as per various locations, on behalf of visibility of its shadow.
Groundhog Day ResultsMost recent Groundhog day results of 49 groundhogs from different locations and watch what did the groundhog see this morning; a shadow or an early spring.
|Groundhog||Location||Sees Shadow||Result / Prediction|
|Chesapeake Chuck||Newport News, Virginia||Yes||6 more weeks in Spring|
|T-Boy the Nutria||New Orleans, Louisiana||No||Winter will soon end|
|Woody||Howell, Michigan||Yes||6 more weeks in Spring|
|Uni||Myerstown, Pennsylvania||Yes||6 more weeks in Spring|
|Gus||Athens, Georgia||No||Winter will soon end|
|Octoraro Orphie||Quarryville, Pennsylvania||No||Winter will soon end|
|Pierre C. Shadeaux||New Iberia, Louisiana||Yes||6 more weeks in Spring|
|Punxsutawney Phil||Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania||No||Winter will soon end|
|Tumbleweed||Brookfield, Illinois||No||Winter will soon end|
|Smith Lake Jake||Graysville, Alabama||Yes||6 more weeks in Spring|
|Wynter the Groundhog||Milwaukee, Wisconsin||No||Winter will soon end|
|Sir Thomas Hastings||Hastings, Nebraska||No||Winter will soon end|
|Patty Pagoda||Reading, Pennsylvania||No||Winter will soon end|
|Mortimer||Garner, North Carolina||No||Winter will soon end|
|Pine Grove Grover||Pine Grove, Pennsylvania||Yes||6 more weeks in Spring|
|Potomac Phil||Washington, D.C.||No||Winter will soon end|
|Flatiron Freddy||Boulder, Colorado||Yes||6 more weeks in Spring|
|Dundas Donna||Toronto, Ontario||Yes||6 more weeks in Spring|
|Winnipeg Willow||Winnipeg, Manitoba||No||Winter will soon end|
|Western Maryland Murray||Cumberland, Maryland||Yes||6 more weeks in Spring|
|Susquehanna Sherman||Mount Wolf, Pennsylvania||No||Winter will soon end|
|Queen Charlotte||Charlotte, North Carolina||Yes||6 more weeks in Spring|
|Poor Richard||York, Pennsylvania||Yes||6 more weeks in Spring|
|Oil Springs Ollie||Oil Springs, Ontario||Yes||6 more weeks in Spring|
|Octorara Orphie||Quarryville, Pennsylvania||No||Winter will soon end|
|Nibbles||Asheville, North Carolina||No||Winter will soon end|
|Mount Joy Minnie||Lancaster County, Pennsylvania||Yes||6 more weeks in Spring|
|Manitoba Merv||Winnipeg, Manitoba||No||Winter will soon end|
|Malverne Mel||Malverne, New York||Yes||6 more weeks in Spring|
|Holtsville Hal||Holtsville, New York||No||Winter will soon end|
|Grady the Groundhog||Chimney Rock, North Carolina||Yes||6 more weeks in Spring|
|Fred||Val d'Espoir, Quebec||Yes||6 more weeks in Spring|
|Dover Doug||Dover, Pennsylvania||No||Winter will soon end|
|Lawrenceville Lucy||Lawrenceville, Pennsylvania||No||Winter will soon end|
|Cocalico Cal||Ephrata, Pennsylvania||No||Winter will soon end|
|Chuckles||Manchester, Connecticut||No||Winter will soon end|
|Chattanooga Chuck||Chattanooga, Tennessee||Yes||6 more weeks in Spring|
|Woodstock Willie||Woodstock, Illinois||No||Winter will soon end|
|Wiarton Willie||Wiarton, Ontario||No||Winter will soon end|
|Sir Walter Wally||Raleigh, North Carolina||No||Winter will soon end|
|Shubenacadie Sam||Shubenacadie, Nova Scotia||No||Winter will soon end|
|Jimmy the Groundhog||Sun Prairie, Wisconsin||No||Winter will soon end|
|General Beauregard Lee||Lilburn, Georgia||No||Winter will soon end|
|French Creek Freddie||French Creek, West Virginia||No||Winter will soon end|
|Buckeye Chuck||Marion, Ohio||Yes||6 more weeks in Spring|
|Balzac Billy||Balzac, Alberta||No||Winter will soon end|
|Dunkirk Dave||Dunkirk, New York||Yes||6 more weeks in Spring|
|Staten Island Chuck||Staten Island, New York City, New York||No||Winter will soon end|
|Stormy Marmot||Aurora, Colorado||No||Winter will soon end|
Did phil see his shadow today
Groundhog's Prediction Probability of Being RightThe forecast of a groundhog may be correct for a prolonged winter with clear sky or a mild winter with a cloudy sky, or finally completely wrong with these two situations. Since there are three possible cases:
Groundhog predicts the end of winter and soon it happens;
Groundhog predicts the end of winter in six weeks and this happens;
Groundhog predicts the end of winter soon and the opposite happens;
Groundhog predicts the end of winter in six weeks and the opposite happens;
Groundhog predicts the end of winter and soon it is longer than six weeks;
Groundhog predicts the end of winter in six weeks and it is longer than six weeks.
If the events were equally likely given the chance give a forecast three correct (2 of 6 possibilities) in this case is 33%. To determine the probability that a random result is correct, the statistics of previous years could be observed. In addition, the groundhog can not be held culpable if winter lasts more than six weeks because it has no way of knowing this forecast. So it should perhaps not recognize that the other cases.
results of Groundhog day 2017 video or live coverage / event transmissionThe promoters of the event claim that the groundhog is correct between 75% and 90% of the time but a study by the Meteorological Service of Canada conducted over 30 to 40 years and counting thirteen cities shows the validity of the groundhog prediction is only 37%, a quite clear difference. The National Climatic Data Center of the United States noted an efficiency of 39%.
Origins of Groundhog DayWhere did the celebration of Groundhog Day come from? No one knows for sure, but it does appear to be linked with ancient celebrations of the coming of spring. Groundhog day occurs at the midpoint of winter, halfway between the winter solstice and the spring equinox, so although it is often still cold, groundhog day marks the return of light and longer days. In ancient times, groundhog day marked the festival of Imbloc, a day to celebrate the first stirrings of spring from the depths of winter.
Groundhog day is also 40 days after the birth of Jesus. According to what was then Jewish belief, the mother and son had to go to the temple 40 days after Jesus was born. February 2 became the feast of Candlemas, a festival celebrating Mary and the infant Jesus, celebrated at the midpoint between winter and spring. This festival was celebrated with candles that were brought to church. These candles were blessed and thought to protect the household.
The myth about the groundhog emerging from his burrow to predict the coming of spring seems to be rooted in an ancient myth from early European beaver and bear cults. They believed that the life cycle of hibernating animals was a metaphor for human spiritual journeys—with winter and autumn symbolizing death and spring and summer rebirth and life. Shadows represented the dark side of humans, and if an animal emerged from hibernation with its shadow, it was said to have not fully slept the sleep of death, and had to go back into the earth until its shadow no longer remained. Settlers arriving in America adapted the groundhog to this old myth.
(Elliott, Doug. Wildwoods Wisdom: Encounters with the Natural World. New York: Paragon House. 1992.)
On Candlemas it is said that the groundhog appears from his burrow to look for his shadow. If he sees it he will go back into hibernation for six weeks. If he doesn’t, spring is on its way. Candlemas is associated with the sowing of crops: sunny weather forebodes harsh days and poor planting. In various countries, other animals have been used to foretell the weather: the badger in Germany, and the bear in France and England.It is easy to see how the following rhymes translated into our version of Groundhog Day predicting, “If the groundhog sees its shadow, there will be six more weeks of winter.”
Scottish couplet:If Candlemass day is bright and clear,
There'll be two winters in the year.
English rhyme:Half your wood and half your hay,
You should have on Candlemas day.
An old English song:If Candlemas be fair and bright,
Come, winter, have another flight.
If Candlemas brings clouds and rain,
Go, winter, and not come again.